The Daily Reckoning’s

Message from Moscow

March 3rd, 2008

In a shocking development, Russian President Vladimir Putin's hand-picked successor has won election with 70% of the vote.

OK, so much for the sarcasm.  Russia, rich in natural resources, will remain a power to be reckoned with for the years ahead.  How does an informed investor to try to stay on top of what's happening in the Kremlin?

One of the best ways is a means of communication that dates back almost to the founding of the Soviet Union — shortwave radio.

Time was that Radio Moscow's English-language service had a unique role — an essential source of information for the U.S. intelligence community that happened to be equally accessible to the armchair Kremlinologist.  And it still is.

When the Soviet Union collapsed (I remember it well, living far from family on Christmas Day 1991, turning on Radio Moscow and hearing an announcer declare "The Soviet Union has ceased to exist" — pretty cool), Radio Moscow was renamed the Voice of Russia.  These days it seems a more low-budget operation — I hear thicker accents and more mangled syntax than I recall in the late 80s and early 90s — but after the Yeltsin years, VOR has without a doubt assumed the role of its predecessor: as a vigorous mouthpiece for the Kremlin.

That's been in clear evidence the last couple of weeks, as Kosovo declared independence from Serbia — the country Russia has historically seen as a sort of Slavic little brother.  Two weeks ago, VOR ran a report about how Kosovo's pending secession was warming the hearts of Basques in Spain, Corsicans living under French rule, and a bunch of other European secessionist movements I didn't even know existed.  The subtext was clear — European governments supporting Kosovar independence had better watch out, lest the secessionist bug spread to their own countries.

The message was hammered home again — with more force — after the actual declaration last week.  A commentary by VOR's Yevgeny Krishkin approvingly cited an opinion piece by analyst Sergio Romano in Italy's Corriere della Serra that sees the hand of Washington behind the Kosovar secession [emphasis mine]:

Since the Soviet Union and Yugoslavia collapsed, Washington has been trying to persuade the former republics to join NATO and the European Union.  They need it to threaten Russia's national interests, and to prevent European members from developing a common European policy, stresses Sergio Romano.  In other words, Kosovo has not been busy setting its own strategic goals.  This is the question of American dominance…

There's a lot of insight packed into these awkward sentences.  They reinforce what a lonely few U.S. commentators like Pat Buchanan have been warning about — that for all the talk of Putin's belligerence, Russia feels profoundly threatened by NATO's expansion onto Russia's doorstep, indeed into former Soviet territory.  It feeds straight into Russia's deep-seated historical fear of invasion from its west — attacks by Napoleon and Hitler would probably do that to a people over the course of a couple centuries. 

It's something which a wise U.S. president would do well to keep in mind.  Alas, our current president insists on building an anti-missile system in Poland and the Czech Republic.  And listening to last week's final Democratic debate offered little reason to believe the opposition party will act any with more prudence.

And so, the wise investor concerned about what's up in Moscow might consider sinking $150 into a decent portable shortwave radio.  Yes, the Voice of Russia has an English-language website, but trying to navigate it is almost hopeless.   Go straight to the source.

Unfamiliar with shortwave?  Pick up a copy of Passport to World Band Radio, the indispensable guide to both shortwave programming and equipment, and a pleasure to read in its own right.  Want to dip your toe in the water?  Listen to the weekly Shortwave Report podcast.  It's a half-hour compendium of news and commentary from the major international broadcasters that still transmit in English to North America — VOR, China Radio International, Radio Havana Cuba, and Radio Netherlands.

However you listen, the Voice of Russia will be an important source of insight into the thinking of Mr. Putin and Mr. Medvedev for a long time to come.

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4 Comments »

  1. (8?» wrote,

    Sorry Dave, but I don’t see any more value in listening to VOR than I would VOA. Both are nothing but propaganda outlets for their respective power grabs.

    Besides, they don’t say anything that isn’t already well known (at least outside the MSM). All they are doing is “preaching to the choir” in an effort to further the program of divide and conquer.

    Listening to VOR (giving it credence), is no different than you watching a pro-wrestling manager talk about his wrestler’s on-going dramatic soap opera with his enemy of the moment, then telling your friends that this manager really knows what he is talking about. Now if your friends are fans of wrestling, you might get a spirited debate about the issues at hand. Most folks though, would take your outlook of pro-wrestling reality as a sign of immaturity, if not outright delusion.

    Regardless of the identity of the actors on the world stage, they are all just that, actors, who merely follow a script. While you can take the time to seek out yet another hidden chapter of this drama, this alone doesn’t allow you turn fiction into reality. It just means the story becomes more complete.

    Unless, that is, you believe the fiction to portray reality.

    Just like in wrestling, there is a vested interest in the maintenance of this realistic looking facade. Question is, other than those
    who spin the facade, or those who suspend belief for entertainment value, who benefits?

    Dave, while you may think you are promoting an educational opportunity, I think you’re really just the next unintentional wrestling promoter/fan.

    Just like the owners of WWF only care who wins as it pertains to audience participation, so do the true owners of the world. To assume that any one of these actors is truly running the show is to forget who pays the bills.

    Worse yet, it is to forget the dangers of divide and conquer, and the fallacy of creating good from the lessor of two evils.

    Sure, we can suspend belief for entertainment value in this case as well, but the problem with doing so is that it has no effect on the reckoning day we all know is approaching.

    So instead of participating in the facade by choosing to call propaganda reality (even if the details are facts), can’t we all just get along, and stop supporting the destructive statists?

    After all, these evil actors survive only due to our participation.

    Or in the words of Nancy Reagan, Just Say No!

    Comment on March 3, 2008 @ 4:32 pm

  2. (8?» wrote,

    Damn, will I ever make a post without a typo?

    I’m sure though, that there’s a hidden pun in the “lessor of two evils.”

    Comment on March 3, 2008 @ 4:36 pm

  3. Mario wrote,

    To (8?
    Very good observation Mr.( Ms.?) 8!
    Whithout fans and spectators a show doesn’t exist!
    But this message should reach the average Joe who is living paycheck to paycheck, borrows money for Saturday night fun and has the right to vote! And he votes for the scoundrel which promisses him will not have to borrow anymore money for Saturday night fun!
    I am sure every reader of Agora Publishing knows ” something’s rotten in this country” , but our number is not big enough to make a difference unless we get our message to average Joe!…And make him understand there’s no free lunch!…
    And by the way, don’t appologize for minor typo mistakes, your message got through - this is a blog for free ideeas , not an corse in classical English from Oxford…

    Comment on March 3, 2008 @ 10:59 pm

  4. Russia dissed by its friends | The Daily Reckoning's wrote,

    [...] of Russia in the next couple of days.  (VOR's rhetoric has become much more fierce since I first wrote about Radio Moscow's successor mouthpiece six months [...]

    Pingback on August 28, 2008 @ 1:05 pm

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